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## How do we calculate demand and supply? ## Demand ## Supply How many potential job openings do we expect for a given occupation? New Demand Measure, or the average of total number of jobs for each occupation across three data sets… - · 2020 projections from openings and replacement (OES) - · 2026 projections from openings and replacement (OES) - · New data source: Burning Glass 12-month job postings (2019) NOTE TO DATA USERS: Beginning with this data package, Burning Glass is used to measure advertised online postings, replacing Help Wanted Online as the third component of indexed demand. Note that this substitution may be responsible for some of the variance between indexed demand as calculated in the original and updated data packages. Direct value comparisons of the occupational demand measures, STAR rankings, and supply gap ratios should be limited. How many qualified individuals do we potentially have available to fill a relevant job opening? Sum of available workers or graduates related to an occupation from multiple data sets… - · Unique UI claims, 2018 (DUA) - · Relevant completer data - · Voc-Tech completers, 2015-2017 average (DESE), 50% available* - · Community College completers, 2015-2017 average (DHE), 90% available - · State University completers, 2015-2017 average (DHE), 71% available - · Private University completers, 2015-2017 average (iPEDS), 55% available *All retention figures are statewide, studies cited in Data Tool **Occupations requiring post-secondary education only
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## More Openings than Qualified: Regional Sub-BA Occupations, 3+ Stars At the sub-BA level, a number of occupations rated 3+ stars do not have enough regional supply to meet employer demand. <!-- image -->
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## State Supply Gap Overview: BA+ Clusters The Computer and Mathematical, Architecture and Engineering, and Legal occupation clusters average the lowest ratios of qualified individuals per opening at the BA+ level. <!-- image --> Occupations requiring a Bachelor's degree or higher, grouped by 2-digit SOC code. Occupation demand Index 100+. (Star rankings not available at the 2-digit SOC level.)
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## More Openings than Qualified: State BA+ Occupations At the BA+ level, there are a number of 4- and 5-star occupations for which demand exceeds the supply of qualified individuals statewide. <!-- image --> - 4- and 5-star occupations requiring a Bachelor's degree or higher. Demand Index 100+ only. Occupations new to the graph may have previously had a supply gap ratio&gt; 1, a star ranking
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## Part III: Workforce Supply Analysis How many qualified individuals do we potentially have available to fill a relevant job opening?
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## III. A: Apprenticeships
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## Top 15 State Occupations by Apprenticeships Electricians, Carpenters, and Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters make up more than half of all apprenticeships statewide. All three of these occupations are ranked 4- or 5-stars, as are several other occupations with a large number of apprentices. <!-- image -->
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## How do we calculate demand and supply? ## Demand How many potential jobs exist for apprentices in a given occupation in our region? New Demand Measure, or the average of total number of jobs for each occupation across three data sets… - · 2020 projections from openings and replacement (OES) - · 2026 projections from openings and replacement (OES) - · New data source: Burning Glass 12-month job postings (2019) How many apprentices are qualified to work in these occupations? Total currently enrolled apprentices… - · Division of Apprentice Standards, 2019 …minus the fraction of total occupation employment assumed to be made up of apprentices - · Bureau of Labor Statistics short-term projections (OES) - 2018 employment base Total Number of Apprentices Total 2018 Employment in Apprentice Trades *All apprentice employment assumptions are statewide-methodology detailed in apprenticeships data tool.
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## State Supply Gap Overview: Apprenticeships Employer demand exceeds the supply of apprentices for a number of 4- and 5-star occupations statewide. Of these, Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers, Firefighters, and Construction Laborers have the fewest apprentices per opening. <!-- image -->
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## Regional Occupation Demand and Supply of Apprentices In the Berkshires, the most popular occupations for apprentices (Electricians, Carpenters, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters, and Construction Laborers) are ranked 4 stars, indicating high wages and strong projected employer demand. | | Occupation Title | STAR Ranking | Apprentices | Demand | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------|----------------|---------------|----------| | Electricians | 4 | 32 | 61 | | | Carpenters | 4 | 13 | 91 | | | Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters | 4 | 11 | 32 | | | Construction Laborers | 4 | 7 | 129 | | | Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers | 4 | 2 | 31 | | | Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers | 3 | 1 | 28 | |
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## III. B: Professional Licensing
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## Top Occupations by DPL Professional Licensing In the Berkshires, a majority of the top occupations by number of Division of Professional Licensure licenses are 4- or 5-star occupations. <!-- image --> This analysis is not inclusive of occupations licensed by agencies other than the Division of Professional Licensure. Licenses must have been issued between 2000 and 2019, and not be expired as of 2019.
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## Regional Occupation Demand and DPL Licensing Comparing the number of license holders with total occupational employment offers another indicator of skill shortages or surpluses in occupational labor markets. While the number of professional licenses exceeds total employment for some occupations, such as Cosmetologists, for others, such as Educational Psychologists, the number of jobs (167) outstrips the supply of licenses (53). Source: Division of Professional Licensure, 2000-2019; Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment Statistics, 2020 Projections | DPL Board / License Type | STARS | Licenses | 2018 Employment | |------------------------------|---------|------------|-------------------| | Allied Health | 4 | 49 | 103 | | Occupational Therapist | 4 | 63 | 157 | | Physical Therapist | 4 | 53 | 167 | | Educational Psychologist | | | | | Cosmetology | | | | | Cosmetologist (Hairdresser) | 3 | 387 | 330 | | Electricians | | | | | Electrician | 4 | 222 | 400 | | Engineers And Land Surveyors | | | | | Engineer | 4 | 61 | 393 | | Gas Filters | | | | | Gas Fitter | 4 | 283 | 211 | | Public Accountancy | | | | | Certified Public Accountant | 5 | 46 | 584 | | Real Estate | | | | | Real Estate Salesperson | 3 | 387 | 241 | | Social Workers | | | | | Social Worker, Licensed | 4 | 315 | 470 | | Social Worker Assistant | 3 | 82 | 375 | | | | | | Selected occupations ranked 3+ stars only. Not inclusive of occupations licensed by agencies other than the Division of Professional Licensure. Licenses must have been issued between 2000 and 2019, and not be expired as of 2019. See Appendix for additional detail.
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## Part IV: New Data Tools
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## Dynamic Data Tools As an extension of the data package update, a set of new dynamic data tools have been developed to support regional planning work. These tools are intended to act as a resource for your teams to compare data across regions and generate insights beyond the analysis in this data package, with respect to five different areas: - 1. Licensure - 2. Apprenticeships - 3. Regional Sector Makeup - 4. Educational Attainment and Employment - 5. Worker Characteristics
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## Education Program Supply <!-- image --> Online Tool: http://massconnecting.org/pathwaymapping/default.asp#mapping
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## Discussion Questions - · How does this data inform your ongoing work to support regional priority industry and occupations? - · How can you act on this data to accelerate your blueprint priorities? - · This year, we're asking regional teams to develop an "update" to their blueprints. With this data in mind, what might be important to include in your update?
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## Appendix: Regional Context
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## Unemployment Rate Berkshire's unemployment rate has been between .5 and 1 percentage points higher than the state average for much of the past year. | May-18 | Jun-18 | Jul-18 | Aug-18 | Sep-18 | Oct-18 | Nov-18 | Dec-18 | Jan-19 | Feb-19 | Mar-19 | Apr-19 | May-19 | | |----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----| | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | | |
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## Unemployed v. Employed in Labor Force Berkshire's labor force grows during the summer months, when tourism is strongest. <!-- image -->
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## Median Annual Wage Berkshire's median annual wage is the lowest across all regions, though it has increased since 2015. | Year | Median Annual Wage | 2018 Median Annual Wage | | |---------|----------------------|---------------------------|----| | $36,317 | $38,179 | $56,732 | | | $40,646 | $43,133 | $53,153 | | | $42,366 | $40,646 | $45,698 | | | $40,133 | $53,153 | $40,163 | | | $42,225 | $45,698 | $41,303 | | | $40,163 | $53,153 | $46,690 | |
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## Educational Requirements for Employment One in five of all jobs in the Berkshires in 2026 are projected to need a Bachelor's degree or higher and two-thirds will require a high school diploma/equivalency or less. <!-- image --> <!-- image -->
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## Appendix: Worker Characteristics
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## Priority and Critical Industries by Age <!-- image -->
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## Priority and Critical Industries by Gender <!-- image -->
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## Priority and Critical Industries by Educational Attainment <!-- image -->
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## Priority and Critical Industries by Race <!-- image -->
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## Priority and Critical Industries by Ethnicity <!-- image -->
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## Appendix: Priority Industry Profiles
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## Healthcare and Social Assistance
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## Healthcare and Social Assistance by Gender There are far more women than men working in Healthcare and Social Assistance, overall. This reflects the mix of occupations in the sector. | Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----| | Male | | | Female | | | Male | | | Female | | | Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----| | Male | | | Female | |
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## Healthcare and Social Assistance by Race/Ethnicity [Note: Check axis scale on chart on left.] While most workers in the Healthcare and Social Assistance sector are white, since 2015, growth in employment has been greater for Black or African American, Asian, and Hispanic or Latino populations. <!-- image --> Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | Chart Type | Description | | |------------------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----| | vbar_categorical | A vertical bar chart with categorical data on the x-axis and numerical values on the y-axis | |
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## Hospitality and Management
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## Hospitality and Management by Gender The Hospitality and Management industry has almost equal shares of male and female workers in the Berkshires. | Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----| | Male | | | Female | | | Male | | | Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----| | Male | | | Female | |
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## Hospitality and Management by Race/Ethnicity Workers in Hospitality and Management in the Berkshires are predominantly white, with only 8% of workers identifying as Black or African American or Asian. <!-- image --> Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 <!-- image --> Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018
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## Manufacturing
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## Manufacturing by Gender Manufacturing workers are predominantly male. | Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----| | Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | | | Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----| | Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | |
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## Manufacturing by Race/Ethnicity The Manufacturing workforce is predominantly white in the Berkshires, with only about 4 percent of workers identifying as Black or African American, or Asian. <!-- image --> Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 <!-- image --> Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018
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## Appendix: Critical Industry Profiles
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## Educational Services
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## Educational Services Groups and Employers The number of Educational Services establishments in the Berkshires remained stable between 2016 and 2018. Over the last 12 months, the employer with the most online job postings in the region was Williams College, with 115. <!-- image -->
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## Educational Services by Education 66% of workers in the Educational Services sector in the Berkshires have at least some college education. Industry Employment by Educational Attainment, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018 | Year | Educational attainment not available (age | Some college or Associate degree | High school or equivalent, no college | Less than high school | | | |--------|---------------------------------------------|------------------------------------|-----------------------------------------|-------------------------|-----|----| | 2015 | 6% | -6.6% | 26% | -4.7% | 21% | | | 2018 | 6% | -3.7% | 21% | 1.423 | 6% | |
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## Educational Services by Gender More than 60% of Educational Services workers are female. | Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----| | Male | | | Female | | | Male | | | Change in # of Employees | Male | | |----------------------------|--------|----| | -6% | -6% | | | -25% | -6% | | | -30% | -6% | | | -300% | -6% | |
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## Educational Services by Race/Ethnicity More than 90% of Educational Services workers are white, although the share of Black or African American, Asian, and Hispanic or Latino workers in the sector has increased since 2015. <!-- image --> Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 <!-- image --> Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018
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## Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
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## Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Groups and Employers The number of Arts, Entertainment and Recreation establishments in the Berkshires remained stable between 2016 and 2018. Over the last 12 months, Sterling and Francine Clark Art Institute was the employer responsible for the most job postings in the Berkshires (18). <!-- image -->
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## Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation by Education Arts, Entertainment and Recreation, like Hospitality, affords opportunities to people with a variety of educational backgrounds. 21% of workers in the Berkshires have a high school diploma, 25% have some college or an Associate degree, and 26% have a Bachelor's degree or higher. Industry Employment by Educational Attainment, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018
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## Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation by Gender Employment in the Arts, Entertainment and Recreation sector in the Berkshires is fairly evenly split between male and female workers. | Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----| | Male | | | Female | | | Male | | | Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018 | | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----| | Male | | | Female | |
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## Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation by Race/Ethnicity More than 95% of workers in the Arts, Entertainment and Recreation industry are white in the Berkshires. Numbers of people of color working in the sector have grown by a small amount since 2015. <!-- image --> <!-- image --> Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018
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## Finance and Insurance
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## Finance and Insurance Groups and Employers The number of Finance and Insurance establishments in the Berkshires has remained stable since 2016. In the last year, Berkshire Bank was responsible for the most job postings in the region (63), followed by Assurance (55) and AmeriPlan (28). <!-- image -->
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## Finance and Insurance by Education More than 66% of Finance and Insurance workers in the Berkshires have at least some college education, although their share of total sector employment has decreased since 2015. Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2015 - 2018 | | Industry Employment by Educational Attainment, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018 | | |------|--------------------------------------------------------------------|-----------------| | 100% | 2,146 | 1,930 | | 90% | 5%, 107 | +28.0% 7%, 137 | | 80% | 40%, 869 | -19.1% 36%, 703 | | 70% | 60% | -9.4% | | 60% | 50% | -9.4% | | 30% | 30%, 638 | 30%, 578 | | 20% | 21%, 440 | -7.0% 21%, 409 | | 10% | 4%, 92 | +12.0% 5%, 103 | | 0% | 2015 | 2018 | | | | |
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## Finance and Insurance by Gender Nearly 70% of Finance and Insurance workers in the Berkshires are female. <!-- image --> Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | Change in of Employees of Employees | Male | Female | | |---------------------------------------|--------|----------|----| | -16% | -140 | -120 | | | -16% | -100 | -7% | |
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## Finance and Insurance by Race/Ethnicity More than 95% of all workers in the Finance and Insurance sector in the Berkshires are white. The number of Black or African American workers has grown the most since 2015. <!-- image --> Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | Chart Type | Description | | |------------------|--------------------------------------------|----| | vbar_categorical | A vertical bar chart with categorical data | |
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## Professional and Technical Services
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## Professional and Technical Services Groups and Employers Professional and Technical Services include legal, management consulting, accounting and bookkeeping, and architectural and engineering services. There are slightly more establishments in this sector in 2018 than in 2016. H&amp;R Block had the highest number of job postings in this sector in the Berkshires over the past year (36). <!-- image -->
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## Professional and Technical Services by Education 41% of workers in Professional and Technical Services in the Berkshires have a Bachelor's degree or higher. Industry Employment by Educational Attainment, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018 | Year | Education Attainment not available (age | Some college or Associate degree | High school or equivalent, no college | Less than high school | | | |--------|-------------------------------------------|------------------------------------|-----------------------------------------|-------------------------|-------------|----| | 2015 | 43%, 1,122 | 26%, 684 | +18.1% | 26%, 808 | 26% - 808 | | | 2018 | 7%, 194 | 25.8% | +11.8% | 41%, 1.254 | 41% - 1.254 | |
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## Professional and Technical Services by Gender In the Berkshires, 60% of Professional and Technical Services workers are male. | Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 | | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----| | Male | | | Female | | | Male | | | Male | Female | | |--------|----------|----| | +12% | +12% | |
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## Professional and Technical Services by Race/Ethnicity More than 92% of workers in the Professional and Technical Services industry in the Berkshires are white. Though there have been increases since 2015 in the number of Black or African American, Asian and Hispanic or Latino workers, the numbers are still relatively small. <!-- image --> Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2018 <!-- image --> Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018
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## Appendix: Professional Licensing
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## Regional Occupation Demand and DPL Licensing | DPL Board / License Type | STARS | Licenses | 2018 Employment | |--------------------------------------|---------|------------|--------------------------------------------------| | Allied Health Occupational Therapist | 4 | 49 | 103 | | Physical Therapist | 4 | 63 | 157 | | Educational Psychologist | 4 | 53 | 167 | | Cosmetology | 3 | 387 | 330 | | Cosmetologist (Hairdresser) | 3 | 387 | 330 | | Electricians | 4 | 222 | 400 | | Engineers And Land Surveyors | 4 | 61 | 393 | | Engineer � | 4 | 61 | 393 � | | Gas Fitters | 4 | 283 | 211 | | Gas Fitter | 4 | 283 | Social Workers | | Public Accountancy | 5 | 46 | 584 | | Certified Public Accountant | 3 | 387 | Healthcare Social Workers | | Real Estate | 3 | 387 | 241 | | Real Estate Salesperson | 4 | 387 | Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers | | Social Workers | 4 | 315 | 470 | | Social Worker, Licensed � | 3 | 82 | 375 | | Social Worker Assistant | 3 | 82 | 470 | *Matched to multiple SOC occupations. All license-occupation matches available in data tool. Source: Division of Professional Licensure, 2000-2019; Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment Statistics, 2020 Projections Occupations ranked 3+ stars only. Not inclusive of occupations licensed by agencies other than the Division of Professional Licensure. Licenses must have been issued between 2000 and 2019, and not be expired as of 2019.
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## Glossary
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## Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) The 2018 Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) system is used by federal statistical agencies to classify workers and jobs into occupational categories for the purpose of collecting, calculating, analyzing, or disseminating data. To facilitate classification and presentation of data, the SOC is organized into a tiered system with four levels: major group, minor group, broad occupation, and detailed occupation. The 23 major groups (below) are broken into minor groups, which, in turn, are divided into broad occupations. At the highest level of specification, there are 867 detailed occupations with unique SOC codes. | Code | Title | Code | Title | |---------|------------------------------------------------------------|---------|-----------------------------------------------------------| | 11-0000 | Management Occupations | 35-0000 | Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations | | 13-0000 | Business and Financial Operations Occupations | 37-0000 | Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations | | 15-0000 | Computer and Mathematical Occupations | 39-0000 | Personal Care and Service Occupations | | 17-0000 | Architecture and Engineering Occupations | 41-0000 | Sales and Related Occupations | | 19-0000 | Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations | 43-0000 | Office and Administrative Support Occupations | | 21-0000 | Community and Social Service Occupations | 45-0000 | Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations | | 23-0000 | Legal Occupations | 47-0000 | Construction and Extraction Occupations | | 25-0000 | Educational Instruction and Library Occupations | 49-0000 | Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations | | 27-0000 | Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations | 51-0000 | Production Occupations | | 29-0000 | Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations | 53-0000 | Transportation and Material Moving Occupations | | 31-0000 | Healthcare Support Occupations | 55-0000 | Military Specific Occupations | | 33-0000 | Protective Service Occupations | | | A complete description of SOC codes, titles and definitions can be found at www.bls.gov/soc/
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## Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) Each item in the 2018 SOC is designated by a six-digit code. - · Major group codes end with 0000 (e.g., 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations). - · Minor groups generally end with 000 (e.g., 29-1000 Health Diagnosing or Treating Practitioners)-the exceptions are minor groups 15-1200 Computer Occupations, 31-1100 Home Health and Personal Care Aides; and Nursing Assistants, Orderlies, and Psychiatric Aides, and 51-5100 Printing Workers, which end with 00. - · Broad occupations end with 0 (e.g., 29-1020 Dentists). - · Detailed occupations end with a number other than 0 (e.g., 29-1022 Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons). <!-- image -->
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## North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) The 2017 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) is an industry classification system that groups establishments into industries based on the similarity of their production processes. It is a comprehensive system covering all economic activities. There are 20 sectors and 1,057 industries in 2017 NAICS United States. NAICS uses a six-digit coding system to identify particular industries and their placement in this hierarchical structure of the classification system. The first two digits of the code designate the sector, the third digit designates the subsector, the fourth digit designates the industry group, the fifth digit designates the NAICS industry, and the sixth digit designates the national industry. The NAICS sectors and their two-digit codes are: | Code | Industry | Code | Industry | |--------|----------------------------------------------|--------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------| | 11 | Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting | 53 | Real Estate and Rental and Leasing | | 21 | Mining, Quarying, and Oil and Gas Extraction | 54 | Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services | | 22 | Utilities | 55 | Management of Companies and Enterprises | | 23 | Construction | 56 | Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services | | 31-33 | Manufacturing | 61 | Educational Services | | 42 | Wholesale Trade | 62 | Health Care and Social Assistance | | 44-45 | Retail Trade | 71 | Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation | | 48-49 | Transportation and Warehousing | 72 | Accommodation and Food Services | | 51 | Information | 81 | Other Services (except Public Administration) | | 52 | Finance and Insurance | 92 | Public Administration | A complete description of NAICS codes, industries and definitions can be found at https://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics/
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<!-- image --> ## Pioneer Valley 2019 Data Package Update Regional Workforce Skills Planning Initiative
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## Objectives - · Update contextual regional labor market information - · Narrow scope of data/discussion to focus on regional priority/critical industries - · Confirm regional high priority industries and occupations through updated demand star rankings and skill gap analysis - · Evaluate any new demographic, labor pool, and talent pipeline considerations impacting workforce skill gaps - · Introduce new dynamic data tools
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## Table of Contents ## Part I: Regional Context - i. Unemployment Rate - ii. Labor Force - Educational Requirements for Employment ## Part II. Regional Industry Overview and Profiles - A: Sector Makeup by Employment and Wages - B: Priority Industry Profiles - i. Groups and Employers - ii. Employment by Educational Attainment - iii. Occupations ## Part III: Supply Gap Analysis - i. Regional Sub-BA Occupations - ii. State BA+ Occupations ## Part IV: Workforce Supply Analysis - A: Apprenticeships - B: Professional Licensing ## Part V: New Data Tools ## Appendix - A: Worker Characteristics - B: Priority Industry Profiles - C: Critical Industry Profiles - D: Professional Licensing ## Glossary
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## Part I: Regional Context
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## Unemployment Rate Pioneer Valley's unemployment rate historically tracks with the state average, about a percentage point or so higher. | May-18 | Jun-18 | Jul-18 | Aug-18 | Sep-18 | Oct-18 | Nov-18 | Dec-18 | Jan-19 | Feb-19 | Mar-19 | Apr-19 | May-19 | | |----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----| | 0.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | | |
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## Unemployed v. Employed in Labor Force There are slightly fewer unemployed workers in the Pioneer Valley as of May 2019 than the prior year. The overall labor force has also increased, as some people who previously were no longer looking for work have returned to the labor market and are having success finding employment. <!-- image -->
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## Median Annual Wage Pioneer Valley's median annual wage has increased since 2015, but is still significantly lower than the state average, and lower than all other regions except for the Berkshires. | Berkshire | Cape and Islands | Central | Greater Boston | Northeast | Pioneer Valley | Southeast | Massachusetts | | |-------------|--------------------|-----------|------------------|-------------|------------------|-------------|-----------------|----| | $36,317 | $38,179 | $38,433 | $40,646 | $43,133 | $53,153 | $56,732 | $45,698 | | | $30,000 | $36,317 | $38,433 | $40,646 | $43,133 | $53,153 | $56,732 | $45,698 | | | $20,000 | $36,317 | $38,433 | $40,646 | $43,133 | $53,153 | $56,732 | $45,698 | | | $10,000 | $36,317 | $38,433 | $40,646 | $43,133 | $53,153 | $56,732 | $45,698 | | | $0 | $36,317 | $38,433 | $40,646 | $43,133 | $53,153 | $56,732 | $45,698 | |
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## Educational Requirements for Employment Pioneer Valley is projected to have the same shares of jobs that require BA+; AS, Cert. or Some College, and HS or Below in 2026 as in 2016. <!-- image --> <!-- image -->
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## Part II: Regional Industry Overview and Profiles Who are the employers in our region?
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## Terminology | Industry Sector | Sectors that represent general categories of economic activities, 2 digit NAICS | |-------------------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | Industry Group | More detailed production-oriented combinations of establishments with similar customers and services, 4 digit NAICS |
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## II.A: Regional Industry Overview
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## Sector Makeup by Total Employment Health Care and Social Assistance is the largest industry in the Pioneer Valley. The next largest sector, Educational Services, employs 30K fewer workers, followed by Retail Trade. | Category | Value | | |----------------|---------|----| | Health Care | 0 | | | Educational | 0 | | | Retail Trade | 0 | | | Accommodatio | 0 | | | Manufacturing | 0 | | | Public | 0 | | | Construction | 0 | | | Administrative | 0 | | | Transportation | 0 | | | Finance | 0 | | | Other Services | 0 | | | Wholesale | 0 | | | Professional | 0 | | | Arts | 0 | | | Management | 0 | | | Information | 0 | | | Agriculture | 0 | | | Mining | 0 | |
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## Sector Makeup by Total Wages Health Care and Social Assistance and Educational Services paid the highest total wages in Pioneer Valley, followed by Manufacturing.
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## II.B: Priority Industry Profiles
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## Healthcare and Social Assistance
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## Healthcare and Social Assistance Groups and Employers More than 1,000 Health Care and Social Assistance establishments were added in Pioneer Valley between 2016 and 2018, driven primarily by the increase in Individual and Family Services. Over the last 12 months, Baystate Health posted the most jobs in Pioneer Valley, with 2,520. <!-- image -->
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## Healthcare and Social Assistance by Education 57% of workers in Healthcare and Social Assistance have some college or higher level of education in the Pioneer Valley. Source: US Census Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Q2 2015 - 2018 | | Industry Employment by Educational Attainment, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018 | |------|--------------------------------------------------------------------| | 100% | 65,622 70,740 | | 90% | 10%, 6,423 9%, 6,506 | | 80% | 27%, 17,662 26%, 18,064 | | 70% | 60% | | 50% | 31%, 20,476 31%, 21,782 | | 20% | 21%, 13,905 22%, 15,512 | | 10% | 11%, 7,156 24.0% | | 0% | 2015 2018 | | | |
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## Educational Services
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## Educational Services Groups and Employers The number of Educational Services establishments in Pioneer Valley grew slightly between 2016 and 2018, driven primarily by growth in educational support services. Over the last 12 months, the employer with the most job postings in Pioneer Valley was UMass Amherst, with 493. <!-- image -->
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## Educational Services by Education 40% of workers in Educational Services have a Bachelor's degree or higher in the Pioneer Valley. Industry Employment by Educational Attainment, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018 | Year | Educational attainment not available (age | Some college or Associate degree | High school or equivalent, no college | Less than high school | | | |--------|---------------------------------------------|------------------------------------|-----------------------------------------|-------------------------|------|----| | 2015 | 42% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | | | 2018 | 7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | |
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## Manufacturing
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## Manufacturing Groups and Employers The number of Manufacturing establishments in Pioneer Valley declined slightly between 2016 and 2018. In the last year, Advanced Drainage Systems was the employer with the highest number of job postings in Pioneer Valley (141), followed by Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc. (99), Stanley Black &amp; Decker (67) and The Yankee Candle Company, Inc. (57). <!-- image -->
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## Manufacturing by Education 45% of workers in Manufacturing in the Pioneer Valley have a high school diploma or less. 30% of workers in Manufacturing have some college or an Associate Degree and nearly 20% have a Bachelor's degree or higher. This educational attainment mix has been relatively stable since 2015. Industry Employment by Educational Attainment, Q2 2015 - Q2 2018 | Year | % of Employees | | |--------|------------------|----| | 2015 | 30% | | | 2018 | 31% | | | 2017 | 31% | | | 2016 | 30% | | | 2017 | 30% | | | 2018 | 30% | |
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## Occupations
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## Terminology | Occupation | A job or profession, not specific to an industry, defined by Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) code | |---------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | Demand Star Ranking | Ranking of highest-demand, highest-wage jobs in Massachusetts, based on short-term employment projections (2020), long-term employment projections (2026), 12-month job postings from Burning Glass, and median regional occupation wages. |
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## Selected Sub-BA Occupations Associated with Priority Industries | | Industry | Occupation Title | Industry-Specific, Statewide | All Industries, Regional | |------------------|----------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------|--------------------------------|----------------------------| | Occupation Title | Occupation Title | Occupation Title | Occupation Title | Occupation Title | | 49-9021 | HVAC Mechanics and Installers | Postsecondary non-degree award | 330 | 4 | | 29-2061 | Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses | Postsecondary non-degree award | 330 | 4 | | 31-9092 | Medical Assistants | Postsecondary non-degree award | 120 | 4 | | 43-3031 | Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | Some college, no degree | 1,670 | 4 | | 15-1151 | Computer User Support Specialists | Some college, no degree | 2,350 | 4 | | 25-9041 | Teacher Assistants | Some college, no degree | 33,670 | 34,124 | | 23-2011 | Paralegals and Legal Assistants | Associate's degree | 60 | 4 | | 31-2021 | Physical Therapist Assistants | Associate's degree | 2,510 | 4 | | 29-2034 | Radiologic Technologists | Associate's degree | 4,100 | 65,654 | | 49-9021 | HVAC Mechanics and Installers | Postsecondary non-degree award | 210 | 61,914 | | 29-2061 | Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses | Postsecondary non-degree award | 14,000 | 54,879 | | 31-9092 | Medical Assistants | Postsecondary non-degree award | 13,300 | 36,925 | | 29-2071 | Medical Records and Health Information Technicians | Postsecondary non-degree award | 4,220 | 40,440 | | 29-2055 | Surgical Technologists | Postsecondary non-degree award | 2,870 | 58,730 | | 43-3031 | Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | Some college, no degree | 4,110 | 40,589 | | 15-1151 | Computer User Support Specialists | Some college, no degree | 820 | 4 | | 25-9041 | Teacher Assistants | Some college, no degree | 4,740 | 4 | | 23-2011 | Paralegals and Legal Assistants | Associate's degree | 60 | 4 | | 49-9021 | HVAC Mechanics and Installers | Postsecondary non-degree award | 50 | 61,914 | | 53-3032 | Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers | Postsecondary non-degree award | 1,560 | 46,232 | | 43-3031 | Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | Some college, no degree | 2,870 | 40,589 | | 15-1151 | Computer User Support Specialists | Some college, no degree | 1,220 | 4 | All occupations listed are 4- and 5-star occupations requiring a postsecondary non-degree award, some college, or an Associate's degree. Bolded occupations appear across multiple priority industries.
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## Part III: Supply Gap Analysis Which occupations are likely to not have enough talent to meet employer demand?
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## How do we calculate a supply gap ratio? Supply Gap Ratio = Projected Qualified Individuals Per Opening - · Supply Gap Ratio is a proxy measure for understanding what occupations are likely to not have enough talent to meet employer demand. - · Supply / Demand = Supply Gap Ratio - · 100 qualified individuals / 50 potential openings = supply gap ratio of 2 - · 2 qualified individuals per opening (More supply than demand) - · 6 qualified individuals / 12 potential openings = supply gap ratio of 0.5 - · 0.5 qualified individuals per opening (Less supply than demand)
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## How do we calculate demand and supply? ## Demand ## Supply How many potential job openings do we expect for a given occupation? New Demand Measure, or the average of total number of jobs for each occupation across three data sets… - · 2020 projections from openings and replacement (OES) - · 2026 projections from openings and replacement (OES) - · New data source: Burning Glass 12-month job postings (2019) NOTE TO DATA USERS: Beginning with this data package, Burning Glass is used to measure advertised online postings, replacing Help Wanted Online as the third component of indexed demand. Note that this substitution may be responsible for some of the variance between indexed demand as calculated in the original and updated data packages. Direct value comparisons of the occupational demand measures, STAR rankings, and supply gap ratios should be limited. How many qualified individuals do we potentially have available to fill a relevant job opening? Sum of available workers or graduates related to an occupation from multiple data sets… - · Unique UI claims, 2018 (DUA) - · Relevant completer data - · Voc-Tech completers, 2015-2017 average (DESE), 50% available* - · Community College completers, 2015-2017 average (DHE), 90% available - · State University completers, 2015-2017 average (DHE), 71% available - · Private University completers, 2015-2017 average (iPEDS), 55% available *All retention figures are statewide, studies cited in Data Tool **Occupations requiring post-secondary education only
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## More Openings than Qualified: Regional Sub-BA Occupations, 4+ Stars At the sub-BA level, a number of 4- and 5-star occupations do not have enough regional supply to meet employer demand. <!-- image --> 4- and 5-star occupations requiring a postsecondary non-degree award, some college, or an Associate's degree. Demand Index 20+ only.
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## More Openings than Qualified: Regional Sub-BA Occupations, 3 Stars At the sub-BA level, a number of 3-star occupations do not have enough regional supply to meet employer demand. <!-- image --> 3-star occupations requiring a postsecondary non-degree award, some college, or an Associate's degree. Demand Index 20+ only.
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## State Supply Gap Overview: BA+ Clusters The Computer and Mathematical, Architecture and Engineering, and Legal occupation clusters average the lowest ratios of qualified individuals per opening at the BA+ level. <!-- image --> Occupations requiring a Bachelor's degree or higher, grouped by 2-digit SOC code. Occupation demand Index 100+. (Star rankings not available at the 2-digit SOC level.)
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## More Openings than Qualified: State BA+ Occupations At the BA+ level, there are a number of 4- and 5-star occupations for which demand exceeds the supply of qualified individuals statewide. <!-- image --> - 4- and 5-star occupations requiring a Bachelor's degree or higher. Demand Index 100+ only. Occupations new to the graph may have previously had a supply gap ratio&gt; 1, a star ranking
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## Part IV: Workforce Supply Analysis How many qualified individuals do we potentially have available to fill a relevant job opening?
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## IV. A: Apprenticeships
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